Polymarket Trader

0x6A96e956a7640CDF68890848d2504f773B2f69de-1774056065393

0x6a96e956a7640cdf68890848d2504f773b2f69de

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $713.48
Realized PnL: $6.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $181.84
Potential payout: $773.79
Potential profit: $591.95
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$130.16

Yes position

Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $19.26
Potential payout: $641.99
Potential profit: $622.73
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$230.74

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.74
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $319.84
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$97.26

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $23.25
Potential payout: $244.74
Potential profit: $221.49
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$69.75

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $34.52
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $203.57
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$65.48

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $110.72
Potential payout: $228.3
Potential profit: $117.57
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $23.72

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $15.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $184.9
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $77.22
Potential payout: $185.39
Potential profit: $108.18
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $44.22

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $28.03
Potential payout: $180.82
Potential profit: $152.79
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$26.97

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $46.82
Potential payout: $139.75
Potential profit: $92.93
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $13.82

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $109.53
Potential payout: $109.53
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $60.13

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.4%
Current value: $64.44
Potential payout: $100.14
Potential profit: $35.7
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $28.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $811.79

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.91

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.02

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.84

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.98

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.76

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.16

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.03

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.04

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.51

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.74

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.59

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.78

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.59

Yes position

Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.9

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.9

Yes position

World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.25

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.33

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.15

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 45.1% 109.53 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 31% 100 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 29.7% 80.82 shares
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Yes 25% 201.68 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 8% 200 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 38.1% 228.3 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 23.6% 139.75 shares
Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 46% 189.13 shares
Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 24% 104.17 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.9% 100.14 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.8% 185.39 shares
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 29% 113.79 shares