Polymarket Trader

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0x6a9743e7872cb5e321ca2eb97edc907bc6c14800

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.06K
Realized PnL: $32.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.82K
Potential profit: $186.82K
User PnL: -$7.36K

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.33K
Potential profit: $42.33K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.8K
Potential profit: $22.8K
User PnL: -$536.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $4.79K
User PnL: -$733.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.53K
User PnL: -$38.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $21.66
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.44
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$189.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$19.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$30.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$10.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$45.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $0.72
User PnL: $108.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $988.46
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800.42
Potential profit: $800.42
User PnL: -$508.49

No position

Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $417.95
Potential payout: $638.1
Potential profit: $220.14
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$118.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.59
Potential profit: $608.59
User PnL: -$232

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565.45
Potential profit: $565.45
User PnL: -$29.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $157.08
Potential payout: $498.66
Potential profit: $341.58
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$190.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $323.66
Potential profit: $323.66
User PnL: -$147.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.12

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $976.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $949.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $879.94

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $865.96

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $847.34

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $767.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $731.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $717.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 93% 370 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 92% 309.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 92% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 92.4% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 8% 2.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 69% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 93% 107.53 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 149.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 34% 2.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 47% 3.03 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 68% 147.06 shares