Polymarket Trader

0x6aA52049b253FF75Ace66D814A89F27cCBFdDD2F-1762714695024

0x6aa52049b253ff75ace66d814a89f27ccbfddd2f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.53
Realized PnL: $169.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.74
Potential profit: $185.74
User PnL: -$1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.21
Potential profit: $47.21
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.26
Potential profit: $44.26
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.07
Potential profit: $16.07
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny win 2 Grammys?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Venezuela" during the next press briefing?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $10.71
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.33
Potential profit: $10.33
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Nuclear" 5+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.2

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $9.53
Potential payout: $9.83
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will Trump say "El Salvador" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.89
Potential profit: $8.89
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.83
Potential profit: $8.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.77
Potential profit: $7.77
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.48
Potential profit: $7.48
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $6.98
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" during the announcement on Thursday?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.63
Potential profit: $6.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.61
Potential profit: $6.61
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.13

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

No position

Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 92% 5.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 99.9% 3.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 70% 2.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 88% 3.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 99.9% 4.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 6.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 99.9% 5.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 93.9% 5.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 63.7% 1.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 93.4% 4.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 90.6% 5.17 shares