signorebaldini

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 77°F or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.25
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 96°F or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $272.5
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.42
Potential profit: $171.42
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.95
Potential profit: $108.95
User PnL: -$1.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.6
Potential profit: $73.6
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $68.1
Potential profit: $67.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 83°F or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60.66
Potential profit: $60.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $51.39
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.08
Potential profit: $34.08
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $31.83
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $28.67
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.49
Potential profit: $30.49
User PnL: -$11.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.91
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $29.46
Potential profit: $26.23
Multiplier: 9.13x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $20.39
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 85°F or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $23.88
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET