No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Polymarket Trader
elsaloris4814
0x6aaf1e9f892f9a08f896776a9153492fe776b9c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $3.06
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 54% 56 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 70% 43 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 98.2% 31 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 98.1% 31 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95.9% 31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 11.2% 37 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 73.4% 6 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 97.7% 30 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 93.3% 34 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 93.7% 34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 52% 61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 52% 61 shares