Polymarket Trader

LeRoiSoleil

0x6ac0caf622798132614a5972f81d86ff23fc55f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.71K
Realized PnL: $44.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $76.36K
Potential profit: $73.88K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$4.24K

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$498.91

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $28.59K
Potential payout: $32.67K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $709.07

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $4.22K
Potential payout: $5.82K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$68.94

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $656.84

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $226.38
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $2.81K
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$273.62

Yes position

Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$709

Yes position

Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $974.27
Potential profit: $974.27
User PnL: -$630

No position

Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320.18
Potential profit: $320.18
User PnL: -$133.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.67
Potential profit: $195.67
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41K

Yes position

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $950.52

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $932.93

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $931.59

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $746.69

Yes position

Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.76

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $407.93

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.46

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.13

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.21

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.97

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.51

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.81

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.23

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.92

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

No 77.9% 368 shares
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

No 77.2% 2,590.2 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 93% 2,488.25 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 87% 206.9 shares
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

No 69.9% 2,859.36 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 89% 2,488.24 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 41.5% 448.44 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 85.1% 4,700.7 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 85% 4,976.48 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 43.5% 1,712.17 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 71.4% 1,042.68 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 72.3% 1,042.68 shares