Polymarket Trader

ghosty2

0x6ac31dcd353df174ac6a09c1eb737af7cbfa15b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.03
Realized PnL: $461.24
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315
Potential profit: $315
User PnL: -$157.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.99
Potential profit: $169.99
User PnL: -$83.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.36
Potential profit: $80.36
User PnL: -$39.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.38
Potential profit: $39.38
User PnL: -$19.29

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $26.37
Potential payout: $26.37
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $19.66
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.4
Potential profit: $21.4
User PnL: -$9.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.97

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.79

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.9%
Multiplier: 2.79x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$10.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 89% 22.47 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

No 94.8% 26.37 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 90.9 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.7% 82.87 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

No 97.5% 20.51 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 90.91 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 82.87 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 88% 22.73 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?

No 87% 22.56 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 43% 22.72 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 88% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Down 99% 699.94 shares