No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $48
- Potential payout
- $48.95
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.62
Polymarket Trader
luorisky2333
0x6ac58f8ce874a89ad78b6a68a6ca446b1ab30998
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $266.13
- Realized PnL
- $39.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $46.28
- Potential payout
- $48.28
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $19.03
- Potential payout
- $32.81
- Potential profit
- $13.78
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $23.95
- Potential payout
- $27.69
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $24.74
- Potential payout
- $27.34
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $24.7
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.79
- Potential profit
- $25.79
- User PnL
- -$18.83
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Temperature" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $17.34
- Potential payout
- $25.32
- Potential profit
- $7.98
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $24.33
- Potential payout
- $24.73
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $17.88
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $5.65
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $19.88
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.2
- Potential profit
- $21.2
- User PnL
- -$18.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.50?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 96% 24.73 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?No 96.3% 24.44 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?No 96.3% 24.44 shares
- Iraq leading at halftime?No 96.1% 24.44 shares
- Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.5% 26.71 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96.4% 48.28 shares
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Austria?No 96.5% 24.11 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.5% 48.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 54.7 shares
- Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86.4% 22 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No 98.5% 26.11 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 92.7% 3.1 shares