Polymarket Trader

Tradman

0x6ac7062e35ee83c752899225ccea45406c03aabb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.65K
Realized PnL: $17.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $16.08K
Potential profit: $14.71K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $402.03

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.54K
Potential profit: $12.54K
User PnL: -$10.7K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$5.3K

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $3.09K
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $188.63
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $215.89

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $3.01K
User PnL: -$1.07K

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$45

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.59K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $7.8
User PnL: $145

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $80.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $49.04

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$345.99

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.33
Potential profit: $220.33
User PnL: -$200.87

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$124

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $129
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $71
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$114

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 78.9%
Current value: $89.76
Potential payout: $113.77
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$12.29

Yes position

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16K

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $2.93K

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.14

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $689.67

Yes position

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.04

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.05

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.5

No position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.74

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.68

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $193.42

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.65

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.64

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.01

Yes position

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 78.4%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $50.5

No position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.3

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.85

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 89% 2,599.99 shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 77.2% 3,928.15 shares
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Yes 95% 10 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 92% 128.51 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 6% 16,081.29 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 21.7% 4,856.72 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 22.3% 1,253.75 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 25.2% 9,740.01 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 24.1% 260 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 26% 260 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 75% 199 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 32.9% 70.08 shares