Polymarket Trader

aerogr

@Aero96193997

0x6acd9f2678e2440cfd142e5bea075207e9f5dc61

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $108.99
Realized PnL: $46.57
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $103.1
Potential payout: $624.84
Potential profit: $521.74
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$206.59

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.11
Potential profit: $194.11
User PnL: -$7.18

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.87
Potential profit: $23.87
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.37
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75
Potential profit: $6.75
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.47
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $3.85

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36%
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 95.4%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 1.96 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 4.34 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 99.3% 3.48 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 3.49 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 66% 4.55 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 2.41 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 1.56 shares