Polymarket Trader

Ch1vesbot

0x6addd13d5465b5d80e8c7e4df2d4a2ec3f7fabf0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $81.59
Realized PnL: $786.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $90
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $63.08
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $37.41
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $20.24
Potential payout: $34.89
Potential profit: $14.65
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$5.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $5.67
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $21.33
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $20.74
Potential profit: $10.99
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $20.52
Potential profit: $14.57
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $9.03
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $3.76
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $4.74
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $5.34
Potential profit: $5.04
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $3.75
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.7

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.58

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.51

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.03

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.97

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.76

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.55

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.44

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.65

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.39

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.9

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.27

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.18

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.74

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 15?

Yes 8% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?

Yes 35% 14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Up 1% 10,000 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 3?

Yes 20% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 3?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 3?

Yes 8% 25 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on May 3?

Yes 1% 192 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Up 57.6% 202.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Up 49.4% 202.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Down 50% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Down 55% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Up 49% 19.48 shares