Polymarket Trader

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0x6ae1f111ca2c7d20f61de06e907a72724f0c287f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.4
Realized PnL: $3.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.36
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $37.08
Potential profit: $36.62
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $30.69
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $28.43
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.35
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $23.53
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $108.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $87.65

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $54.76

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $54.13

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.2%
Multiplier: 13.99x
User PnL: $42.52

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $41.81

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $37.16

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $32.54

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $24.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 1, 2AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Down 64% 3.13 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Down 92% 5.43 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Up 72% 2.78 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Down 50% 2.59 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Down 77% 2.6 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 58% 1.72 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 64% 1.56 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 86% 1.56 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 64% 1.56 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Down 26% 4.92 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Down 50% 2 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Down 70% 1.43 shares