0x6B0BB46F85efAE20908f2c7B70eF4a57DD09f011-1764540069516

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $600.03
Potential profit: $525.02
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$71.36

Yes position

EU dissolves before 2027?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $483.72
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$3.25

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $101.2
Potential payout: $229.99
Potential profit: $128.79
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $12.9

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.1%
Current value: $62.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $137.8
Multiplier: 3.22x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $197.1
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$7.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $20.78
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $39.22
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $11.06

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $55.83
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $7.89
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $52.11
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $56.55
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $49.76
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.73
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$3.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.35

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $7.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.55
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.9

Pedro Martinez position

Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Pedro Martinez

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.81

Flyers position

Hurricanes vs. Flyers

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.27

Pedro Boscardin Dias position

Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Dias

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET