Yes position
Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.53K
- Potential profit
- $90.53K
- User PnL
- -$90.53
Polymarket Trader
0x6b0e...e3ea
0x6b0ebbef2630b9a0da35594bf7ddd1911246e3ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $25.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.31K
- Potential profit
- $60.31K
- User PnL
- -$60.31
Yes position
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47K
- Potential profit
- $47K
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.34K
- Potential profit
- $32.34K
- User PnL
- -$32.34
Yes position
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.84K
- Potential profit
- $30.84K
- User PnL
- -$30.84
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.35K
- Potential profit
- $30.35K
- User PnL
- -$30.35
Yes position
Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.85K
- Potential profit
- $23.85K
- User PnL
- -$23.85
Yes position
Will Vitorino Silva win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.56K
- Potential profit
- $23.56K
- User PnL
- -$23.56
Yes position
Will Tim Vieira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.14K
- Potential profit
- $23.14K
- User PnL
- -$25.57
Yes position
Will Manuela Magno win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.48K
- Potential profit
- $22.48K
- User PnL
- -$27.43
Yes position
Will Ângela Maryah win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.8K
- Potential profit
- $21.8K
- User PnL
- -$24.74
Yes position
Will José Cardoso win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.2K
- Potential profit
- $21.2K
- User PnL
- -$23.6
Yes position
Will Raul Perestrello win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.97K
- Potential profit
- $20.97K
- User PnL
- -$23.87
Yes position
Will Aristides Teixeira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.93K
- Potential profit
- $20.93K
- User PnL
- -$23.34
Yes position
Will Rui Moreira win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83K
- Potential profit
- $20.83K
- User PnL
- -$20.83
Yes position
Will Paulo Portas win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.64K
- Potential profit
- $20.64K
- User PnL
- -$20.64
Yes position
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.32K
- Potential profit
- $20.32K
- User PnL
- -$22.78
Yes position
Will Joana Amaral Dias win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.26K
- Potential profit
- $20.26K
- User PnL
- -$20.26
Yes position
Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Orlando Cruz win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.84K
- Potential profit
- $19.84K
- User PnL
- -$20.65
Yes position
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.42K
- Potential profit
- $19.42K
- User PnL
- -$98.09
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.46K
- Potential profit
- $16.46K
- User PnL
- -$16.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.38K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $886.76
Yes position
GPT ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $855.57
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $790.85
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $755.46
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $743.98
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.12
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.56
Yes position
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $705.6
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $670.96
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $629.43
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $596.64
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $568.93
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.7
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $527.62
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $527.59
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $522.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 9% 5 shares
- Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes 16% 14.4 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No 14% 108.37 shares
- Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 30% 9.9 shares
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?Yes 5.1% 21 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 7% 130.71 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 55% 5 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes 1.2% 9.26 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes 3.4% 37.03 shares
- Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?Yes 0.9% 6.44 shares