Yes position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $126.53
- Potential payout
- $223.99
- Potential profit
- $97.46
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$18.18
Polymarket Trader
0x6B11FB81561815995a6D8Ed3B90dD95D3F4838e8-1772021569855
0x6b11fb81561815995a6d8ed3b90dd95d3f4838e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $257.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $93.76
- Potential payout
- $122.57
- Potential profit
- $28.8
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $8.86
- Potential payout
- $34.07
- Potential profit
- $25.22
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $31.33
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $24.44
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $19.29
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during June 24 Rally?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $10.54
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.69
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.42
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.49
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.17
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.45
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.15
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.79
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $28.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.66
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
Yes position
Will Trump say "Moon" this week? (April 12)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17
Yes position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $8.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: April
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
St. Louis Cardinals position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Washington Nationals position
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
San Diego Padres position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
G2 Minnesota position
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during June 24 Rally?No 46% 21.74 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 6% 33.33 shares
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes 56% 35.71 shares
- Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?Yes 29.3% 34.07 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 77% 26.47 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?No 36.7% 55.52 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 76.4% 36.12 shares
- Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes 39.4% 71.33 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 76.7% 38.43 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.5% 30.3 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 75% 13.33 shares