Polymarket Trader

pm2two

0x6b22cb1509b60fd1df04d7e8137bc20b0da774ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $677.43
Realized PnL: $2.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $214.2
Potential payout: $714
Potential profit: $499.8
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $9.37

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.8
Potential profit: $412.8
User PnL: -$28.9

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $90.1
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $249.9
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$28.42

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $71.14
Potential payout: $319.71
Potential profit: $248.57
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: $35.28

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $144.86
Potential payout: $304.96
Potential profit: $160.1
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$10.67

No position

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273
Potential profit: $273
User PnL: -$73.71

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237
Potential profit: $237
User PnL: -$12.32

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.08
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $192.92
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$2.32

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$11.2

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $123.84
Potential payout: $172
Potential profit: $48.16
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $25.89

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $106
User PnL: -$8.48

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$72.42

No position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$30.98

Yes position

Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $49
User PnL: -$6.91

No position

Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $44.03
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $13.04
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $3.81
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $28.19
Multiplier: 8.40x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$9.79

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.54
Potential profit: $9.54
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $5.85
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$4.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.41

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.41

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $166.91

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.48

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $140.96

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.29

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $130.13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.97

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.55

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.55

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.31

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.83

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.09

Yes position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.24

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.06

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.72

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.64

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 23.5% 10 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 3% 416.99 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 44% 81 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 4% 185.97 shares
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

No 91% 5.85 shares
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

No 90% 80.14 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 4% 66 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 200 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 200 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Yes 37% 57.61 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 33% 250 shares
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

No 24% 28 shares