Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $187.44
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $29.6
Polymarket Trader
Mchael
@RobertC46158819
0x6b2ac082c43459d255f8cdf2480023ab9f24b8c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.99K
- Realized PnL
- $118.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $124.45
- Potential payout
- $125.39
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $81.9
- Potential payout
- $83.96
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.26
- Potential profit
- $34.26
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.35
- Potential profit
- $25.35
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.62
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Yes position
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
No position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 89% 1,973.03 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 97.3% 125.39 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 26.88 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.6% 1,758.62 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?No 99.6% 1,573.71 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 92.9% 83.96 shares
- Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No 96.2% 21.8 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.4% 1,744.46 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 19.6% 16.22 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 94.1% 26.89 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.4% 1,744.47 shares
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99.7% 1,733.87 shares