Polymarket Trader

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0x6b3d278a0a62230364f55f1684ad24c1c12d76dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $398.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$251.47

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $915.44
Potential profit: $915.44
User PnL: -$466.87

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.39
Potential profit: $58.39
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.05K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.54K

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.36K

No position

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.54K

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.38K

No position

Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.91K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.9K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.33K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.29K

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.49K

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.77K

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.59K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.55K

Simion position

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.98K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.24K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13K

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83K

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21K

Harris position

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.77K

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.76K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

No 75% 90,000.03 shares
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?

Yes 99% 5 shares
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?

Yes 99% 2,036.39 shares
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?

Yes 96% 126 shares
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

No 41% 6,792 shares
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

No 41% 1,000 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

No 28% 3,188.28 shares
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?

No 75% 474 shares
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?

Yes 33.5% 474 shares
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

No 43.3% 2,074.54 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

No 74% 454 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

No 74% 30,238.27 shares