No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.2%
- Current value
- $48.16
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $31.84
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- -$22.24
Polymarket Trader
leibov
0x6b48a8253f97a61d74751c6068ac1f079ca79c41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.03
- Realized PnL
- $329.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $37.26
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $28.58
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Aug 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $29.78
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $24.27
- Potential payout
- $26.71
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.88
- Potential profit
- $16.88
- User PnL
- -$12.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.61
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.88
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.29
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.88
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?Yes 97.8% 26.71 shares
- Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.1% 26.1 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?No 96.3% 25.42 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 24.5 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 22 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 76% 16.88 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 97.5% 19.99 shares
- Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 96% 38 shares
- Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?Yes 98.6% 30 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?No 95% 20 shares
- Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 98.7% 12 shares
- Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?No 98.2% 30 shares