No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $251.79
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $105.36
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.79
Polymarket Trader
PABLOESCOBAR25
0x6b49054ed460465eec4791e2a19857557b632e46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.89K
- Realized PnL
- $63.29
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $260.25
- Potential payout
- $325.31
- Potential profit
- $65.06
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $10.25
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $249.22
- Potential payout
- $313.48
- Potential profit
- $64.26
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $7.84
Yes position
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $235.44
- Potential payout
- $311.84
- Potential profit
- $76.4
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$14.56
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Current value
- $260.26
- Potential payout
- $302.1
- Potential profit
- $41.84
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $10.26
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $251.23
- Potential payout
- $299.08
- Potential profit
- $47.85
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $236.86
- Potential payout
- $297.94
- Potential profit
- $61.08
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$13.14
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $244.61
- Potential payout
- $289.83
- Potential profit
- $45.21
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.39
No position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $255.56
- Potential payout
- $288.77
- Potential profit
- $33.21
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $248.37
- Potential payout
- $274.44
- Potential profit
- $26.07
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $212
- Potential payout
- $260.16
- Potential profit
- $48.16
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $217.03
- Potential payout
- $256.84
- Potential profit
- $39.81
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $6.42
No position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $199.07
- Potential payout
- $242.77
- Potential profit
- $43.7
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$11.54
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $123.87
- Potential payout
- $231.53
- Potential profit
- $107.66
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$8.1
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $168.07
- Potential payout
- $189.91
- Potential profit
- $21.84
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.65
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $137.18
- Potential payout
- $161.39
- Potential profit
- $24.21
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $59.16
- Potential payout
- $97.79
- Potential profit
- $38.63
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $54.73
- Potential payout
- $81.08
- Potential profit
- $26.35
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $40.79
- Potential payout
- $68.56
- Potential profit
- $27.77
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.9%
- Current value
- $43.54
- Potential payout
- $66.08
- Potential profit
- $22.53
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $42.65
- Potential payout
- $59.65
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $44.57
- Potential payout
- $53.38
- Potential profit
- $8.81
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $31.93
- Potential payout
- $45.3
- Potential profit
- $13.36
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $25.61
- Potential payout
- $37.39
- Potential profit
- $11.78
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $29.03
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.29
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.28
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.36
No position
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$7.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 87% 172.94 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?No 94.2% 273.21 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 77% 172.95 shares
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No 85% 189.91 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.6% 337.83 shares
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 92% 66.48 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Yes 81.7% 161.39 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 57% 231.53 shares
- Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 81% 63.27 shares
- Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 89.1% 214.5 shares
- Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No 86.8% 242.77 shares
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No 82% 256.84 shares