Polymarket Trader

0x6b4FEDeEDabF9d4b6e0e8a7a3eA46F8790C1CC68-1773084466689

0x6b4fedeedabf9d4b6e0e8a7a3ea46f8790c1cc68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.88
Realized PnL: $346.15
Win rate: 82.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Barça eSports position

LoL: Barça eSports vs DMG Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $742.71
Potential profit: $742.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $477.75
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.88
Potential profit: $350.88
User PnL: -$20

LOUD position

LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$2

Roman Dolidze position

UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.96
Potential profit: $250.96
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $180.18
Potential profit: $150.18
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.33
Potential profit: $173.33
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.05
Potential profit: $171.05
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $139.63
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.53
Potential profit: $129.53
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will "Opera" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.65
Potential profit: $122.65
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Anastasia Zakharova position

Miami Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Victoria Mboko

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.7
Potential profit: $102.7
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.85
Potential profit: $101.85
User PnL: -$5.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.94
Potential profit: $100.94
User PnL: -$5

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will "Ballet" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Netflix" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.43
Potential profit: $61.43
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.73

Cloud9 New York position

Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.88

Over position

Empoli FC vs. Mantova 1911: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.36

Wisconsin Badgers position

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

Yes position

Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Monday press conference?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 30.08 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 149.25 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 350.88 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 180.18 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 11.6% 129.53 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 5% 500 shares
Will Trump's remarks not air?

Yes 0.7% 742.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up 51% 43.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up 45% 43.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 98% 64.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 46% 63.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Down 3.6% 27.48 shares