Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.7
- Potential profit
- $93.7
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
leonpinsky
0x6b5e22aa15f74e28ec39a62675151f85a95aca69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.75
- Realized PnL
- -$103.66
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.23
- Potential profit
- $51.23
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $24.45
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Future's "The Real Me" debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $27.3
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.26
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Future's "The Real Me" debut No.1 on Billboard 200?Yes 81% 30 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 30 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 20 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 99.2% 61.72 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 85.71 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 81% 61.73 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?Yes 16.7% 204.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown 48.8% 51.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown 75% 133.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown 73.1% 136.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp 54% 185.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown 76% 131.58 shares