Polymarket Trader

ovkxcjvk

0x6b5ea4aadbb438b0bec92530857fedadd8383620

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $700.21
Realized PnL: $540.37
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.42
Potential profit: $277.42
User PnL: -$86

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.25
Potential profit: $256.25
User PnL: -$82

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.44
Potential profit: $236.44
User PnL: -$177.33

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.69
Potential profit: $220.69
User PnL: -$32

No position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $203.14
Potential payout: $203.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $160.98
Potential payout: $167.6
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $145.56
Potential payout: $145.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $14.56

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $140.85
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $22.76
Potential payout: $137.93
Potential profit: $115.17
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$57.24

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $128
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $96

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $116
User PnL: -$87

Yes position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $112.5
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $109.61
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.2
Potential profit: $108.2
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $60 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $102.56
Potential profit: $100.67
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$2.1

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.63
Potential profit: $89.63
User PnL: -$17.03

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $34.31
Potential payout: $34.31
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.32

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.03

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

No position

Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.49

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12

No position

Linea airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Solana reach $210 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 90% 145.56 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.1% 34.31 shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Anyones Legend 26% 100 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 25% 128 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Yes 19% 89.63 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 95.5% 104.71 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

No 84% 119.05 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.9% 112.36 shares
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Yes 24% 112.5 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 97.8% 102.25 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 58% 137.93 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Yes 3.9% 102.56 shares