Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $377.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $122.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Polymarket Trader
totik2
0x6b6035db24b1dbb09f390c3d08d02e99856fd097
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $475.4
- Realized PnL
- $668.97
- Win rate
- 65%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $97.9
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $122.1
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.08
- Potential profit
- $129.08
- User PnL
- -$73.01
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.05
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.5
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.43x
- User PnL
- $147.17
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $137.73
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.66
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.4
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $24.08
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Ghana position
Spread: England (-2.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.91
No position
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$144.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$146.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: England (-2.5)Ghana 76% 131.58 shares
- Spread: England (-2.5)Ghana 62% 1.61 shares
- Spread: England (-2.5)Ghana 62% 8.55 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 500 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 37% 220 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 22.3% 4,152.43 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 14.1% 1,849.26 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 5.7% 6,921.21 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 22.8% 5,000 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 21.4% 1,320 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 14% 1,887 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.7% 1,009 shares