No position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $40.63
- Potential payout
- $165.86
- Potential profit
- $125.22
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $17.89
Polymarket Trader
0x6b7aAd0e70715170B2F8ea4Eb2E3Df787cC5E8a1-1778168715989
0x6b7aad0e70715170b2f8ea4eb2e3df787cc5e8a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.81
- Realized PnL
- -$29.16
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.17
- Potential payout
- $10.02
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08
- Potential profit
- $3.08
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or below on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.06
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No 15% 40 shares
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No 14% 62.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?Yes 40.9% 23.25 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 10.02 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 65% 3.08 shares
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No 12.6% 63.36 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 10?No 87.7% 1.14 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or below on May 10?No 89.9% 5.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown 98% 5.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown 96% 5.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp 5% 11.62 shares