Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $9.21
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $517.11
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Polymarket Trader
0x6b88B478BF8227A0175898410D33847c48C68257-1774597566961
0x6b88b478bf8227a0175898410d33847c48c68257
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $137.25
- Realized PnL
- $235.79
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $47.96
- Potential payout
- $355.26
- Potential profit
- $307.3
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$32.54
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $56.55
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $12.41
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $36.55
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $21.48
- Potential payout
- $68.18
- Potential profit
- $46.7
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$8.52
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.72
- Potential profit
- $25.72
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $25.6
- Potential profit
- $23.55
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.81
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 95% 21.34 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 526.32 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes 19.5% 25.6 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 68.97 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 77.8% 25.72 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 22% 15.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 47% 10.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown 48% 41.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown 11% 45.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown 48% 20.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp 50% 10 shares