Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $49.85
- Potential payout
- $52.75
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Polymarket Trader
VolcanicCorridor
0x6b8967de47cf5c9a2d3362a626ae410f1d50900d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.85
- Realized PnL
- $8.68
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Solana reach $190 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be less than 2,000,000?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.50 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Brann win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 52.75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.5% 53.89 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 93.7% 26.04 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96% 26.04 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?No 97% 25.79 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?No 96.9% 25.8 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 98.3% 25.43 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 92% 26.88 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 26.88 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.7% 27.86 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 27.87 shares
- Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.6% 3.26 shares