No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.3
- Potential profit
- $53.3
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
yellasio
0x6ba5d23bc11858240ed0b54c9ef0082f0e426769
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $3.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.32
- Potential profit
- $31.32
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Chiefs position
Colts vs. Chiefs
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Cavaliers
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
49ers position
Panthers vs. 49ers
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.73
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.59
Seahawks position
49ers vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.75
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.27
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.04
No position
Aster all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.58
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Indiana position
Miami vs. Indiana
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 96% 41.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 93.8% 53.3 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 80% 31.25 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 78.3% 31.93 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No 94% 31.91 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 94% 21.28 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?No 17% 109 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?No 30% 30 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?No 31% 35 shares
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?No 38% 8 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 95.8% 31.32 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No 98.2% 10.18 shares