Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $194.07K
- Potential payout
- $194.37K
- Potential profit
- $291.55
- User PnL
- $129K
Polymarket Trader
Dropper
@DropperPM
0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $593.68K
- Realized PnL
- $3.35M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Current value
- $107.33K
- Potential payout
- $120.4K
- Potential profit
- $13.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $180.6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.55K
- Potential payout
- $100.28K
- Potential profit
- $82.73K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $14.94
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $10.1K
- Potential payout
- $93.1K
- Potential profit
- $83K
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $65.51K
- Potential payout
- $66.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.5K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $50.3K
- Potential payout
- $50.58K
- Potential profit
- $278.2
- User PnL
- $13.75K
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $38.27K
- Potential payout
- $44.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.29K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $42.78K
- Potential payout
- $44.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $104.63
- Potential payout
- $41.85K
- Potential profit
- $41.75K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.66K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $20.86K
- Potential payout
- $23.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.47K
- Potential profit
- $23.47K
- User PnL
- -$2.31K
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.35K
- Potential payout
- $17.36K
- Potential profit
- $8.68
- User PnL
- $631.16
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $15.45K
- Potential payout
- $15.55K
- Potential profit
- $101.11
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $11.11K
- User PnL
- -$7.11K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.78K
- Potential payout
- $9.29K
- Potential profit
- $4.51K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $715.07
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Current value
- $3.22K
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $580.01
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $85.58
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$455
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $3.44K
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $50.62
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Y
Yes position
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $770.64
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$250.28
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $349.87
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $29.97
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $192.03
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$32.19
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $11.01
- Potential payout
- $188.17
- Potential profit
- $177.16
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$7.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19M
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.09K
Yes position
Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.58K
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.48K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.39K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.12K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.79K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.68K
No position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.33K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.21K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.87K
Yes position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.96K
Yes position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.41K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.37K
Yes position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.86K
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.89K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.74K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.87K
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.07K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.97K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13K
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.68K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.1K
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.85K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.9% 54,674.79 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 120,397.31 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.9% 11,576.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 78.3% 1,142.7 shares
- Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 84.7% 1,420.48 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.6% 13,109.79 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 95% 397.89 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 91.4% 1,113.15 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 89.7% 530 shares
- Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39.7% 2,568.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 64.5% 3,500 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Yes 98% 1,484.56 shares