Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $253.13
- Potential payout
- $56.25K
- Potential profit
- $56K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$253.13
Polymarket Trader
0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960
0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.97K
- Realized PnL
- $66.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $39.06K
- Potential profit
- $36.81K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $19.53
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $480.5
- Potential payout
- $31K
- Potential profit
- $30.52K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$139.5
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $6.7K
- Potential payout
- $6.79K
- Potential profit
- $91.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
N
No position
Will Croatia finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.93K
- Potential payout
- $4.39K
- Potential profit
- $461.2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$124.8
No position
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- User PnL
- -$3.09K
Joel Álvarez position
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$710.64
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $238.22
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $8.21
Jeremy Stephens position
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$261.7
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $573.7
- Potential payout
- $691.21
- Potential profit
- $117.51
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$19.68
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $644.13
- Potential payout
- $649.32
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- User PnL
- $53.24
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $417.79
- Potential payout
- $444.46
- Potential profit
- $26.67
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $31.43
N
No position
Will Ghana finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $161.26
- Potential payout
- $220.9
- Potential profit
- $59.64
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.06
- Potential profit
- $172.06
- User PnL
- -$131.25
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $57.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $15.39
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $41.61
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $2.28
N
No position
Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $38.41
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.03
- Potential profit
- $35.03
- User PnL
- -$21.01
N
No position
Will Iraq finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $34.01
- Potential payout
- $34.34
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30.11
- Potential payout
- $30.13
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.49
N
No position
Will South Africa finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Current value
- $18.96
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $18.51
- Potential profit
- $15.83
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Y
Yes position
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $10.84
- Potential payout
- $11.47
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $963.56
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.22
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $592.75
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.03
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.71
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $524.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 85% 219.53 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 83% 5 shares
- Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.4% 5,536.99 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 91.2% 591.58 shares
- Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 79% 58 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 8,499.32 shares
- Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 91% 127.75 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 65% 1,140.23 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 76.7% 103.57 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 71 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 67.8% 128 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 360.6 shares