No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $607.86
- Potential payout
- $671.67
- Potential profit
- $63.81
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.36
Polymarket Trader
balthazar4
0x6bc9365aaab7a3be4f4435b84ae2e4f59349ab64
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $701.86
- Realized PnL
- $27.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $94
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $106
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87K
Tampa Bay Rays position
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
No position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 8PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $953.89
Over position
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920
Under position
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.34
N
No position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $626.3
Under position
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.43
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 10PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $519.02
Under position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430
Over position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $430
Under position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.62
N
No position
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Algeria?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.41
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.28
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $259.44
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.02
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.1% 104.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 90% 50.55 shares
- Trump goes to space in 2026?No 97.1% 720.9 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 49% 200 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.9% 104.28 shares
- Trump goes to space in 2026?No 97.1% 720.91 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 90% 722.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ETDown 99.9% 700 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown 80% 15.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3PM ETUp 48% 136.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8AM ETUp 18% 119.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11PM ETUp 31% 438.57 shares