Polymarket Trader

o3027

0x6bcd48f75827ddb6f965f7d96727e10adc3406b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.7K
Realized PnL: $427.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $3.36K
Potential payout: $9.69K
Potential profit: $6.33K
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: -$1.49K

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65.4%
Current value: $6.33K
Potential payout: $9.69K
Potential profit: $3.36K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $15.46
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.3K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.67K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.48K

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $44.3K

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $41.38K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.23K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $24.74K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $19.52K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.86K

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.38K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $12.59K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.06K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $11.13K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.14K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.93K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $6.27K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $2.76K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $947.98

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.7% 3,000 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.3% 247.47 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 94.3% 154.03 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 257.05 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6% 1,701.14 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.4% 3,137 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 8.1% 300 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 91.7% 15 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.3% 598.34 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 91.7% 4,613.72 shares
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.5% 10,000 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 89.5% 1,485.09 shares