Polymarket Trader

0x6BCD6e57605941035004A1caD3766ec0Ea05358B-1771785999431

0x6bcd6e57605941035004a1cad3766ec0ea05358b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.63K
Realized PnL: $5.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.54K
Potential profit: $12.54K
User PnL: -$2K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.38K
Potential payout: $3.39K
Potential profit: $5.08
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $923.22
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $58.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$1.25K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$994.44

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $731.71
Potential profit: $731.71
User PnL: -$300

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $626.26
Potential profit: $626.26
User PnL: -$197.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $572.12
Potential profit: $572.12
User PnL: -$311.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.69
Potential profit: $568.69
User PnL: -$497.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.73
Potential profit: $477.73
User PnL: -$398.07

Under position

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $317.46
Potential payout: $317.46
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $117.46

Under position

Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.46
Potential profit: $317.46
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.88
Potential profit: $196.88
User PnL: -$98.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02
Potential profit: $3.02
User PnL: -$1.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $2.99
User PnL: -$1.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.82
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.17

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.32

DR Congo position

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.37

Yes position

Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 43.1% 2,007.01 shares
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5

Under 63% 317.46 shares
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Under 63% 317.46 shares
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 41% 731.71 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Yes 6% 454.54 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Yes 44% 454.55 shares
Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?

Yes 68% 441.18 shares
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

DR Congo 63% 476.19 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 781.25 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 12.8% 6,259.76 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 19.1% 6,284.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 31.6% 626.26 shares