Polymarket Trader

KingCaker

0x6bd4f248ff09cc805020ee24ee5bf1614d78b90a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.53K
Realized PnL: $2.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $43.95
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $5.13K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$886.65

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $5.13K
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $38.77
User PnL: $995.23

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $73.51
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$17.69

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$320

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $17.32
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $246.67

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$253.22

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $310
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $690
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $60

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $982.44
Potential profit: $982.44
User PnL: -$74.34

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $773
Potential profit: $773
User PnL: -$100.25

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $254.87
Potential payout: $287.99
Potential profit: $33.12
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $18.72

Yes position

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $13.91
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $256.1
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258
Potential profit: $258
User PnL: -$107.77

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.98
Potential profit: $233.98
User PnL: -$65.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$88

Down position

Solana Up or Down on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.67
Potential profit: $195.67
User PnL: -$130.48

Down position

Solana Up or Down on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158
Potential profit: $158
User PnL: -$79.14

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $60.95
Potential payout: $106
Potential profit: $45.05
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$9.01

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$6.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.67

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235

Yes position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $156.74

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.25

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $140.92

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $135.97

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.52

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $100

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.65

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.78

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.54

No position

Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.59

No position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.67

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.86

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $65

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.71

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.36

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.6%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $33.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Denmark" or "Norway" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 7% 270 shares
Ethereum Up or Down on June 22?

Down 24.4% 250 shares
Ethereum Up or Down on June 22?

Down 61% 450 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 21% 4,000 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

No 30% 3,000 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 21?

Up 51.4% 227 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 67% 201 shares
Solana Up or Down on June 21?

Up 42.7% 115.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?

Up 85.6% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?

Up 85.1% 168 shares
Ethereum Up or Down on June 20?

Down 13% 740 shares