Polymarket Trader

GetEvenOrGetEvenWorse

0x6bd4f813091dc404809bdcd065cc81103bdc8aca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $409K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.35K
Potential profit: $70.35K
User PnL: -$35.16K

Yes position

Will a handshake between Trump and Mohammed bin Salman only be photographed on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$849.82

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99K
Potential profit: $24.99K
User PnL: -$14.74K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.33K
Potential profit: $22.33K
User PnL: -$844.79

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 11?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$490.76

Yes position

Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$2.49K

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $789.23
Potential profit: $789.23
User PnL: -$7.89

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.26
Potential profit: $58.26
User PnL: -$11.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.54K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.23K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.77K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.57K

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.34K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85K

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.55K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21K

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97K

Yes position

Will Biden drop out on July 21?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44K

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6K

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6K

No position

Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.32K

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 99.9% 28,272.14 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 99.8% 71,430.61 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 34% 925 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Yes 0.1% 116,411.93 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Yes 84.8% 34,072.22 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Yes 84.9% 8,536.94 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Yes 5.5% 14,443.88 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 78.7% 1,735.04 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Yes 11.4% 1,077.47 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Yes 87% 11,486.65 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Yes 17% 270.58 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Yes 23.9% 1,750.38 shares