Polymarket Trader

nicoks2

0x6bd94d670d74bbdc81d1409e6ee511092a13f568

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.38
Realized PnL: $303.89
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $26.31
Potential payout: $29.07
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $20.07
Potential payout: $21.3
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $393.74

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$14.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$79.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?

No 93.9% 21.3 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 86% 29.07 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

No 96.6% 21.71 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

No 92.1% 21.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Down 50.8% 156.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 50% 104 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Down 46% 65.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Up 70% 28.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Up 99% 14.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Up 92% 14.34 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?

No 95.5% 20.94 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

No 96% 20.83 shares