Polymarket Trader

Kennethnews

0x6be4888eacec4e0b84781ee20801a040b5a4dcbb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $302.07
Realized PnL: $631.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $35.83
Potential payout: $796.31
Potential profit: $760.48
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $246.01
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $123
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $82.5

Yes position

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $41.09
Potential payout: $114.13
Potential profit: $73.04
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $27.75
Potential payout: $45.86
Potential profit: $18.11
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $20.41
Potential payout: $33.73
Potential profit: $13.32
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.5

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.03

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.8

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.53

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.07

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $24.56

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $23.12

Yes position

Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.96

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio attend the G7 Summit?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.4

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.47

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.22

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.33

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.7

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.06

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 5% 296.31 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 9% 213.55 shares
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 11% 50.08 shares
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 16% 300 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 12% 246.54 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 13% 153.46 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 35% 70.01 shares
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 11% 400 shares
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Yes 3% 73.37 shares
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Yes 8% 66.61 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 20% 95.85 shares