Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.07K
- Potential profit
- $8.07K
- User PnL
- -$282.42
Polymarket Trader
0x6bed953C24304d3fae0b51ca2a46068dcE7843CF-1762902180081
0x6bed953c24304d3fae0b51ca2a46068dce7843cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.28K
- Realized PnL
- $5.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- User PnL
- -$86.76
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $865.33
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $498.66
Yes position
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $171.31
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$38.07
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$11.02
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.46
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$25.19
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $82.52
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$49.51
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $939.56
- Potential profit
- $939.56
- User PnL
- -$84.26
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $10.25
- Potential payout
- $820.25
- Potential profit
- $810
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$31.58
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $58.92
- Potential payout
- $785.61
- Potential profit
- $726.69
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$113.91
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $6.33
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $543.68
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$32.15
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.03
- Potential profit
- $287.03
- User PnL
- -$24.68
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $119.8
- Potential profit
- $115.07
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $19.43
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $85.58
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $3.59
- Potential payout
- $83.72
- Potential profit
- $80.13
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $7.83
- Potential payout
- $65.29
- Potential profit
- $57.46
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $38.28
- Potential payout
- $40.55
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $22.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 16% 1,500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 15.9% 3,120.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 100.29 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 61.5% 15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 81% 284.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 92% 527.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 20.4% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 25.6% 2,178.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 44% 937.48 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 3.5% 8,069.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17% 1,500 shares