No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.68K
- Potential payout
- $7.3K
- Potential profit
- $620.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $580.52
Polymarket Trader
blindmaninanorgy
@copeverse
0x6bedb65d4bec63a0fef84cd0f19a54f64029b1fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.77K
- Realized PnL
- $12.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.62K
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $18.22
- User PnL
- $86.29
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.66K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- User PnL
- $63.11
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $456.35
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $211.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- User PnL
- $120.86
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- User PnL
- $36.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- User PnL
- $56.59
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $903.62
- Potential payout
- $905.88
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- User PnL
- $98.94
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $148
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $652
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$76
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $702.34
- Potential payout
- $714.49
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $25.38
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $73.52
- Potential payout
- $696.87
- Potential profit
- $623.35
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$41.96
No position
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $655.07
- Potential payout
- $673.25
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $346.68
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $3.32
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $296.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $258.02
- Potential payout
- $262.88
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $23.74
No position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $226.22
- Potential payout
- $227.59
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- User PnL
- $20.26
No position
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $114.76
- Potential payout
- $118.55
- Potential profit
- $3.79
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $75.31
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $43.13
- Potential payout
- $56.38
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $48.28
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $24.65
- Potential payout
- $33.54
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $29.82
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $17.16
- Potential payout
- $20.07
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825.73
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.22
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.17
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.8
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.58
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.77
No position
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.5
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.68
N
No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.9
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.18
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.51
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.19
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.78
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.22
No position
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.32
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.19
No position
Will the US strike 4 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.08
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 97.4% 22 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 87% 20.07 shares
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No 99.9% 40.04 shares
- Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 99% 67 shares
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No 99.9% 67 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 77% 56.38 shares
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No 99.9% 40 shares
- Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 20 shares
- Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 20 shares
- Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 5 shares
- Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 17.3 shares
- Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 20 shares