Polymarket Trader

mikehoyles

0x6befbbd10fb12f60a0b1d1353c6ef5db376cf650

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.94
Realized PnL: $45.14
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.32
Potential profit: $317.32
User PnL: -$19.04

Yes position

Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.9%
Current value: $61.94
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $11.06
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.14
Potential profit: $58.14
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.35
Potential profit: $55.35
User PnL: -$14.39

Yes position

Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.45
Potential profit: $31.45
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $20.75

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.01

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.4%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $1.65

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Starmer out by June 25, 2026?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Starmer out by June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Yes 23.3% 466.26 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Yes 16.7% 25.64 shares
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Yes 87.9% 73 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

No 83% 132 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Yes 66% 161 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 97% 79.68 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 94% 79.68 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

No 82.3% 132.4 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

No 92.6% 132 shares
Starmer out by June 24, 2026?

Yes 81% 54.32 shares
Starmer out by June 25, 2026?

Yes 86% 76.74 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

No 91.4% 132.4 shares