Polymarket Trader

enormous

0x6bf71e33598992bded475fcba6f56eba535ef854

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $236.84
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $83.56
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$116.44

Yes position

Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $26
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.97K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $253.06
Potential payout: $992.38
Potential profit: $739.32
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $43.06

Yes position

Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $457.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $51.73
Potential payout: $470.29
Potential profit: $418.56
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $31.73

No position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $7.77
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $264.95
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$22.23

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $201.55
Potential payout: $265.19
Potential profit: $63.65
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $187.17
Potential payout: $247.9
Potential profit: $60.74
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $37.17

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $193.5
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $136.11
Potential payout: $143.27
Potential profit: $7.16
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $49.87
Potential payout: $123.13
Potential profit: $73.26
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $35.58
Potential payout: $116.66
Potential profit: $81.08
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $24.05
Potential payout: $102.33
Potential profit: $78.29
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $90.71
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $67.68
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $45.74
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $11.08
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $30.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $18.67
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $21.55
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.41

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.51

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.5

Yes position

No Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.64

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.9

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $4.5

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.25

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.7

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.33

No position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.6

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.25

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 50% 200 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Flavio Cobolli 17% 25 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Flavio Cobolli 8% 25 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.1% 70.42 shares
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 88% 56.82 shares
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 75% 26.67 shares
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 40.6% 123.13 shares
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 29.3% 102.33 shares
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 11% 272.73 shares
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 8% 500 shares
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 4.3% 470.29 shares
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 75.4% 265.19 shares