No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $64.75
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Polymarket Trader
0x6c05...c270
0x6c056c53917985d73527efca9cef85158297c270
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $285.75
- Realized PnL
- $147.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $52.57
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Remote IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $29.11
- Potential payout
- $37.08
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $11.71
- Potential payout
- $28.21
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $14.72
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.38
- Potential payout
- $14.79
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $14.55
- Potential profit
- $14.05
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $14.48
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $12.51
- Potential payout
- $12.83
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $12.39
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $7.84
- Potential payout
- $11.53
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $10.57
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $9.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $8.73
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Ben Pasternak jailed?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $7.4
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $5.64
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.39
- Potential payout
- $2.76
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Ramp IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.39
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $2.42
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51
No position
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.05
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 41% 4.95 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 44% 14.65 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 86% 5 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 42% 0.58 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 42% 0.16 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 42% 0.03 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 42% 2.22 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 42% 0.73 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 42% 0.31 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 42% 0.21 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 42% 0.31 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 42% 1.89 shares