Polymarket Trader

vgbyp

0x6c185ff38f84e0a6ade8e76193d127c477c3238a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.11K
Realized PnL: $3.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.12K
Potential profit: $10.12K
User PnL: -$9.31K

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $4.18K
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $921.19
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $104.62

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $2.83K
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $62.82

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $83.48
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $11.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 79.9% 5,103.53 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

No 92% 553.13 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 4,188.2 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

No 92% 10,124.77 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

No 60% 879.96 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

No 59% 462.53 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 75% 6,666 shares