Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $36.57
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$237.32
Polymarket Trader
VolynMolfar
0x6c2a50ee968898c5d50de31b04544f8d3329b7b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.17K
- Realized PnL
- $2.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $80.78
- Potential payout
- $521.17
- Potential profit
- $440.39
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$18.07
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $492.25
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $304.53
- Potential payout
- $435.35
- Potential profit
- $130.82
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $168.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $332.49
- Potential payout
- $359.45
- Potential profit
- $26.96
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $72.86
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $8.76
- Potential payout
- $345
- Potential profit
- $336.24
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $307.79
- Potential payout
- $331.31
- Potential profit
- $23.52
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $75.96
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $209.88
- Potential payout
- $330.52
- Potential profit
- $120.64
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $16.56
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $171.04
- Potential payout
- $273.66
- Potential profit
- $102.62
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $48.02
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $21.69
- Potential payout
- $239.62
- Potential profit
- $217.93
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189.1
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $155.23
- Potential payout
- $178.42
- Potential profit
- $23.19
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $17.6
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $104.4
- Potential payout
- $116.06
- Potential profit
- $11.66
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $106.8
- Potential profit
- $101.99
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$24.81
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $100.1
- Potential payout
- $100.35
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $88.95
- Potential profit
- $86.72
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $60.89
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $19.76
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $68.21
- Potential payout
- $71.02
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.8%
- Current value
- $28.6
- Potential payout
- $47.83
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $13.82
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $37.07
- Potential payout
- $38.41
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $36.37
- Potential payout
- $38.08
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $31.9
- Potential payout
- $33.04
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $20.93
- Potential payout
- $29.06
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $28.38
- Potential payout
- $28.7
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.07
Nigma Galaxy position
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.84
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.72
REKONIX position
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.75
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.39
1win position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98
Nigma Galaxy position
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.16
PlayTime position
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.42
Natus Vincere position
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.22
PlayTime position
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.2
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.57
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.6
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.54
Nigma Galaxy position
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.41
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.21
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.06
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.17
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.16
PlayTime position
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.9
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $41.87
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?Yes 99.9% 5.26 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 87.8% 28.04 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 87.9% 28.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?Yes 99.9% 5.18 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 85.3% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 85.5% 4.83 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 82.8% 35.3 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No 68% 5.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?Yes 99.6% 4.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?Yes 97% 4.9 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5% 42.12 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 68% 28.25 shares