Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $358.14
- Potential payout
- $5.51K
- Potential profit
- $5.15K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$909.12
Polymarket Trader
s1na
0x6c32dd1e37d89be14f995b98cd644aac24f5a33c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $358.14
- Realized PnL
- $811.75
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $890.37
- Potential profit
- $890.37
- User PnL
- -$500
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $779.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.66
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.47
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.23
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.85
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.1
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$65.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$184.07
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$206.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$216.08
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$275.48
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$530.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No 94.2% 204.08 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 23% 5,509.83 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 57.8% 691.52 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 50.3% 198.85 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No 49% 204.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 51% 543.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 84.8% 543.93 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 57% 877.19 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 28.1% 712.66 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 924.43 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 13% 1,851.85 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 55% 924.44 shares