Polymarket Trader

ma99

0x6c3789734ebd5c9494932e4936b7cc20cfdcd40f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.78
Realized PnL: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7.8

No position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.72
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.62

No position

Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.39
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.92
Potential profit: $199.92
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $199.73
Potential profit: $199.03
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $580,000 on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.57

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.77

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.43

Yes position

Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.3

No position

Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.9

No position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.8

Yes position

Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.9

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.2

No position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.86

No position

Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.72

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.74

No position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $63.16

Yes position

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.62

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.45

Yes position

Will the median home value in the US be between $427,500 and $430,000 on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.82

No position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.9

Yes position

Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.7

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.48

No position

USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 2.7% 100 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.1% 100 shares
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.1% 100 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 8% 6.47 shares
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?

No 1% 100 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Yes 0.6% 8.84 shares
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 3.6% 100 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1% 34 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 1.2% 100 shares