Polymarket Trader

h.om.ar

@h_o_ma_n

0x6c44c8302fe9b6910670d7e7e82b0667bc79ca49

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $39.83
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.12
Potential profit: $12.12
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.69
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $4.13
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.98
Potential profit: $3.98
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "President Xi" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

No 46% 6.52 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 96% 35.71 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 48% 13.51 shares
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Yes 70% 1.72 shares
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 21% 2.38 shares
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 42% 2.38 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 2% 49.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Down 95% 1.05 shares