Polymarket Trader

0x6c45...91a9

0x6c45247f8573bc556be4d767c8777777778d91a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $11.6
Realized PnL: $2.43K
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $974.66
Potential profit: $974.66
User PnL: -$150.27

No position

Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $538.15
Potential profit: $538.15
User PnL: -$100

Woodley position

Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match?

Ends Aug 29, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.39
Potential profit: $128.39
User PnL: -$9.64

Yes position

Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.44
Potential profit: $98.44
User PnL: -$50.5

No position

Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.47
Potential profit: $90.47
User PnL: -$20.06

Yes position

Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.72
Potential profit: $54.72
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics?

Ends Aug 8, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.03
Potential profit: $45.03
User PnL: -$14.39

Yes position

Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021?

Ends Aug 7, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.2
Potential profit: $22.2
User PnL: -$17.61

Yes position

Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021?

Ends Aug 13, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.88
Potential profit: $15.88
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?

Ends Oct 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.59
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?

Ends Oct 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 375K for the week ending on August 14?

Ends Aug 19, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.63
Potential profit: $4.63
User PnL: -$1

Calacanis position

Who will get more airtime in Episode 41 of the All In Podcast: David Sacks or Jason Calacanis?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.19
Potential profit: $4.19
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31?

Ends Aug 5, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.54
Potential profit: $3.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET?

Ends Aug 20, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36
Potential profit: $3.36
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021?

Ends Aug 31, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $2.42
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31?

Ends Aug 5, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 375K for the week ending on August 14?

Ends Aug 19, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $1.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021?

Ends Aug 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $1.18
User PnL: -$0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 310K for the week ending on September 11?

Ends Sep 16, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 348K for the week ending on August 21?

Ends Aug 26, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 16831357.84x
User PnL: $989

Yes position

Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July?

Ends Aug 11, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 51225065.53x
User PnL: $943

Yes position

Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET?

Ends Sep 17, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.14

No position

Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August?

Ends Sep 14, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.54

Yes position

Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A?

Ends Aug 26, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.5

No position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7?

Ends Aug 12, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.66

Yes position

Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series?

Ends Sep 19, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.31

Yes position

Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics?

Ends Aug 9, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 84848373.20x
User PnL: $19.61

Yes position

(NBA) Bucks in six?

Ends Jul 14, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.07

No position

Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week?

Ends Aug 23, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 22, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6126834.81x
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August?

Ends Sep 14, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 11678349.32x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 310K for the week ending on September 11?

Ends Sep 16, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 35884587.11x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7?

Ends Aug 12, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 138476866.98x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1?

Ends Aug 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.64

No position

Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics?

Ends Aug 9, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.64

Suns position

Who will win the 2021 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 14, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6560514.41x
User PnL: -$33

No position

(NBA) Bucks in six?

Ends Jul 14, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 4159191.68x
User PnL: -$39.56

No position

Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July?

Ends Aug 11, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$233.6

Yes position

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 348K for the week ending on August 21?

Ends Aug 26, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$824.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update