0x6C46D479682013c5c1f983A10EF84dC7037787a0-1767496740181

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $6.01K
User PnL: -$680.78

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $991.45
Potential profit: $991.45
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $10.21
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $406.46
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $5.21

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $12.88
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $371.73
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $25.08
Potential payout: $218.12
Potential profit: $193.03
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$49.92

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.64
Potential profit: $201.64
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $12.01
Potential payout: $198.45
Potential profit: $186.45
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$5.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.31
Potential profit: $186.31
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $12.41
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $166.16
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $16.78
Potential payout: $135.88
Potential profit: $119.1
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.4%
Current value: $42.41
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $81.05
Multiplier: 2.91x
User PnL: $22.41

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $7.53
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $112.95
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$2.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.74

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.42

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET