No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.51K
- Potential profit
- $36.51K
- User PnL
- -$186.45
Polymarket Trader
8.btc
0x6c646e86d8620ffe3987dbdb4a04d63dab35ac0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150
- Realized PnL
- $2.34K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.9K
- Potential profit
- $10.9K
- User PnL
- -$35.91
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$449.99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$560
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.51
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.37x
- User PnL
- $231
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.5
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.5
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.95
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.41
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$59.51
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$108.28
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$136.92
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$891.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 75% 0.41 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 9% 863.79 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 33.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 67% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 10.4% 3,500.35 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?Down 40.4% 300 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?Down 39% 100 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?Down 36.7% 1,713.33 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No 0.4% 3.13 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No 0.6% 12.96 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?Up 61.9% 351 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?Up 50.5% 515.07 shares